Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Bristol City
29.6%
Draw
17.4%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Bristol City
vs
0.69
Wigan
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).