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AHT: 03CSV

12 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Frosinone
25.1%
Draw
44.7%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Frosinone

vs
1.50

Udinese

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).