Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Alaves
34.8%
Draw
30.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Alaves
vs
0.77
Elche
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.547.8%
Over 2.522.0%
Over 3.58.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.8%
1-0
17.0%
0-1
15.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).