Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Crewe
28.3%
Draw
31.2%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Crewe
vs
0.99
Accrington
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).