Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Union Berlin
28.2%
Draw
9.3%
Standard
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Union Berlin
vs
0.36
Standard
Markets
BTTS23.0%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.9%
0-0
18.0%
2-0
16.6%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
3-1
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
0-2
1.2%
2-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).