Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Caen
15.9%
Draw
70.6%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Caen
vs
2.42
Metz
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).