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22 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
Leyton Orient
28.1%
Draw
24.3%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Leyton Orient

vs
0.81

Crewe

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).