Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Peterboro
20.6%
Draw
19.2%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Peterboro
vs
0.92
Northampton
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).