Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Chelsea
24.6%
Draw
22.1%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Chelsea
vs
1.22
Brentford
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).