Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Lille
23.7%
Draw
37.4%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Lille
vs
1.41
Monaco
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).