Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Leverkusen
19.7%
Draw
62.0%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Leverkusen
vs
2.40
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
2-3
4.7%
1-4
4.5%
0-4
3.5%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).