Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Espanol
22.9%
Draw
50.3%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Espanol
vs
1.88
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).