Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Chaves
27.4%
Draw
43.8%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Chaves
vs
1.26
Aves
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).