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17 Aug 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Angers
27.2%
Draw
51.4%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Angers

vs
1.37

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).