Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Lorient
15.2%
Draw
12.3%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Lorient
vs
1.03
Metz
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
5-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).