Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Bristol Rvs
24.1%
Draw
48.8%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.47
Luton
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).