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HHT: 20CSV

01 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Dorking
26.9%
Draw
42.1%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Dorking

vs
1.54

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).