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HHT: 21CSV

23 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.8%
Fenerbahce
15.3%
Draw
4.9%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.81

Fenerbahce

vs
0.68

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.0%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).