Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Castellon
12.7%
Draw
8.0%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Castellon
vs
0.85
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
5-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).