Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Fiorentina
23.0%
Draw
57.8%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Fiorentina
vs
1.75
Como
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).