Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Cardiff
11.7%
Draw
8.1%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Cardiff
vs
0.81
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).