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25 Aug 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.3%
PAOK
16.5%
Draw
6.2%
Panetolikos

Expected Goals (xG)

2.36

PAOK

vs
0.55

Panetolikos

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
3-0
12.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.7%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
2.3%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).