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AHT: 03

19 Apr 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.9%
Heidenheim
13.1%
Draw
79.0%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Heidenheim

vs
3.07

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
6.3%
1-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
0-5
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
1-5
3.9%
2-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).