Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Oldham
22.0%
Draw
12.4%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Oldham
vs
0.75
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).