Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Spal
28.3%
Draw
44.0%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Spal
vs
1.48
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).