Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.5%
Burnley
19.7%
Draw
3.8%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Burnley
vs
0.24
Oxford
Markets
BTTS18.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.5%
2-0
21.1%
0-0
13.0%
3-0
12.9%
1-1
6.1%
4-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
0-1
2.6%
5-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).