Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Harrogate
25.7%
Draw
45.4%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Harrogate
vs
1.41
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).