Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Metz
15.2%
Draw
9.5%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Metz
vs
0.66
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.1%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
5-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).