Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Ajaccio
24.7%
Draw
39.0%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Ajaccio
vs
1.30
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).