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DHT: 00CSV

20 Sept 2016

Spezia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Trapani
29.4%
Draw
23.3%
Spezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Trapani

vs
0.93

Spezia

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).