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26 Jan 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
PAOK
20.3%
Draw
16.2%
Levadeiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

PAOK

vs
1.13

Levadeiakos

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
4-0
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).