Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Leganes
33.2%
Draw
38.2%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Leganes
vs
0.95
Elche
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.551.6%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.5%
0-1
17.0%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).