Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Birmingham
24.1%
Draw
55.9%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Birmingham
vs
1.89
Fulham
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).