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HHT: 20CSV

12 Apr 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.2%
Hertha
23.7%
Draw
11.1%
Hansa Rostock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Hertha

vs
0.62

Hansa Rostock

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).