Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Cultural Leonesa
29.8%
Draw
47.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.21
Burgos
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).