Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Estoril
22.4%
Draw
20.7%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Estoril
vs
0.95
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).