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AHT: 02CSV

01 Sept 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Schalke 04
34.0%
Draw
34.1%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Schalke 04

vs
0.99

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).