Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Pisa
19.8%
Draw
9.8%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Pisa
vs
0.71
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).