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10 Feb 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.3%
Reggina
28.1%
Draw
18.6%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Reggina

vs
0.81

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).