Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Morton
31.5%
Draw
33.2%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Morton
vs
1.20
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).