Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
CSKA Moskva
23.5%
Draw
11.9%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
CSKA Moskva
vs
0.70
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).