Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Eldense
27.1%
Draw
48.8%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Eldense
vs
1.39
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).