Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
24.0%
Draw
43.7%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.88
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.4%
1-0
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).