Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Blackburn
33.8%
Draw
33.8%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Blackburn
vs
0.96
Stoke
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.0%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).