Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Auxerre
27.9%
Draw
48.3%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Auxerre
vs
1.26
Lyon
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).