Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Brighton
25.3%
Draw
13.7%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Brighton
vs
0.76
Wolves
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).