Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Luton
26.1%
Draw
44.0%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Luton
vs
1.75
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).