Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Sheffield United
26.8%
Draw
18.5%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sheffield United
vs
0.82
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).