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AHT: 03CSV

27 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
29.3%
Draw
41.7%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.34

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).