Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Pau FC
27.1%
Draw
48.8%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Pau FC
vs
1.58
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).